‘Merrily, merrily, merrily, merrily, life is but a
dream,’ said Calderón de la Barca (well, not exactly). Yes, walls that fly away into infinity, floors that turn into Jell-o,
long-dead acquaintances that drop in for tea and, of course, that locked room
at the top of the stairs… You got it - DREAMS are the fertile field we’re ploughing in
this issue. And if you immediately forget our posts after you read them, don’t
worry. Dreams are like that. Best wishes for the summer, everyone! See you next time
around!
Monday, 18 July 2016
Friday, 15 July 2016
Le cadavre exquis (the exquisite corpse)
It seems obvious to emphasize
how important the visual nature of
the dream is. However, this might be the reason that the major work of Sigmund
Freud, The Interpretation of Dreams
(1900), had such a big impact on modern art, even greater than in psychiatry
and psychology, at least in the
early stages.
Although Surrealism emerged as
a literary movement inspired by Freud’s theories of the unconscious,
nineteenth-century mysticism and Symbolist art and literature, almost at the
same time, the movement’s proponents realized the potential of the visual arts
to express the imagery of dreams and the unconscious mind. So the practice of
drawing, which offers the advantages of immediacy and spontaneity, became the
most fertile medium of expression and innovation among the Surrealists.
It also seems obvious to
reject the naive and clichéd affirmation that the Surrealist artists “copy”
their dreams in their works. Max Ernst complained about it in his text What is Surrealism?(1934), but it is
still too common even today.
For them, the dream is what
might be termed life’s other fifty percent, a level of experience different
from conscious life, the knowledge and liberation of which impinges in a
special way on the enrichment and amplification of mental life, which
constitutes the Surrealists’ main objective.
They used, in their efforts to
bypass the conscious mind and access the subliminal realm, diverse drawing
techniques like automatic drawing,
frottage, decalcomania, collage, grattage, but some of the most striking
surrealist drawings were the “exquisite corpses”.
The “exquisite corpse” is a
surrealist game that involved collaboration and chance. It is a method by which
a collection of words or images is collectively assembled and is similar to an
old parlour game called Consequences.
The technique got its name from results obtained in initially by playing: “Le
cadaver/exquis/boira/le vin/nouveau” (The exquisite corpse will drink the young
wine). Other examples are: “The dormitory of friable little girls puts the
odious box right” and “The Senegal oyster will eat the tricolor bread”. These
poetic fragments seemed to reveal the unconscious reality in the personality of
the group, resulting from a process of what Ernst called “mental contagion”. It
was natural that such oracular truths should be similarly sought through images,
and the game was immediately adapted to drawing by assigning a section of the
body to each player, though the Surrealist principle of metaphoric displacement
led to images that only vaguely resembled the human form.
Tristan Tzara (1896-1963)
described the rules of the drawing game: “Three (or more) of you sit down
around a table. Each one of you, hiding from the others, draws on a sheet the
upper part of a body, or the attributes able to take its place. Pass on to your
neighbor on the left this sheet, folded so as to conceal the drawing, but for
three or four of its lines passing beyond the fold. Meanwhile, you get from
your neighbor on the right another sheet prepared in the same way (previously
folded perpendicular to the axis of the body to be realized).
André Breton, the founder of
Surrealism, considered that with the exquisite corpse we had at our command an
infallible way of holding the critical intellect in abeyance and fully
liberating the mind’s metaphorical activity.
In my opinion, the exquisite
corpse grasps the atmosphere of the dream in a amazing way, although the
results can be sometimes more grotesque than real dreams. Both the spontaneity
and the nonsense due to the change of one hand to another, make the magic of
the “surreal” arise to its peaks. By the way, it might be an amusing game to
partake in when you are out at the bar with your friends, the only thing you
need is a pen, a piece of paper (a paper napkin, for example) and want to let
fly your imagination. Knowing how to
draw in this particular case is not important, but rather to go into a “surreal adventure”.
Li
Etiquetas:
ART,
DREAMS,
LI,
SURREALISM
Tuesday, 5 July 2016
Dreaming in the cinema
It doesn´t happen too often but I have sometimes dreamt in the cinema theatre not only because of the movie´s plot but because I have fallen asleep at a certain moment watching a film because of feeling too tired.
But it has always happened when the film wasn´t absorbing enough and it is not oneirology that I want to talk about if we understand it as the scientific study of dreams, either from the psychological or Freudian point of view of those successions of images, ideas, emotions and sensations.
What I want to talk about is more about a few ideas on movies most probably inspired by thoughts emerged from the world of dreams.
In 1990, world-famous director Akira Kurosawa made a movie inspired from eight dreams he had had throughout his life probing how this mental activity has been a source for this kind of artist and not only for painters or writers.
Let´s talk a little bit about five of the very best-known movies that were created by or based on human oneiric mental activity, using the most attractive images or tales.
`The Cabinet of Doctor Caligari´, Robert Weine (1920)
This black-and-white expressionist movie is undoubtedly a masterpiece. It is not only visually innovative but it creates a new theatrical atmosphere through the compelling mannerisms of the characters.
The plot, recounting several crimes committed by a sadistic man, reveals his will to manipulate a somnambulist to murder others. So, we are talking about dreams, about abhorrent things that a normal or even a clever mind could conceive while it is asleep.
`The Wizard of Oz´, Victor Fleming (1939)
This is the title of the many celebrated versions of this original Fleming children´s film. Based on a novel that tells what happened to Dorothy Gale, a young girl on a small farm in Kansas whose dull life is disturbed by a tornado that takes her to a new, fantastic land.
The kingdom of Oz, being a part of Dorothy´s dreams, is presented as a fantastic land where the characters she meets -the Scarecrow, the Tin Man, the Cowardly Lion- are in some way actual people from her real life.
This touching and dreamy movie was made for kids but also to be enjoyed by everyone.
`Spellbound´, Alfred Hitchcock (1945)
This thriller starring by Ingrid Bergman and Gregory Peck brings us the classic procedure of investigating crimes through psychoanalytical methods because it is thought that some massive amnesia and guilt complexes are hiding past events.
The movie starts with a Shakespeare quote that says: `The fault...is not in our stars but in ourselves...´
All the action revolves around the medical staff of a mental hospital, and especially the attitude of its new director who replaces the former that was forced to retire, and his strange disappearance that is supposed a case of murder.
Dreams and their psychological interpretation are presented here as clues to solve the crime. That is why Dr. Petersen -Bergman- uses her psychoanalytical training to dig through eyes, curtains, scissors, a man with no face, a man falling off a building, a man hiding behind a chimney and other mysterious images in a Salvador Dali dream sequence. This and other scenes make it possible to find the solution to the crime.
A well done classic!
`Cinema Paradiso´, Giuseppe Tornatore (1988)
This is not, obviously, a dream movie, but it contains all the nostalgic past of the childhood of a village boy whose first love was undoubtedly the seventh art, a dream-making machine for whole the population of a small Sicilian town.
The film is a long flashback from the eighties Rome to Giancaldo´s fifties, the birthplace of the famous Italian film director Salvatore Di Vita, beginning when he is told that Alfredo has died. His girlfriend asks him who he was, and the plot recounts the story of the movie house known as Cinema Paradiso and Giancaldo´s friendship with its projection booth operator.
World War II, the censorship of kisses and embraces, a nitrate film fire, a widowed mother and the faces of people who frequented the cinema, all these are contained in his memories... making peace with the poor past of a Sicilian boy. A memorable movie with memorable music by Ennio Morricone.
`Alice in Wonderland´, Tim Burton (2010)
This movie takes place during a dream, as Alice -the main character- is transported to her own colorful dream world inhabited by worried white rabbits.
This movie by Tim Burton, starring Johnny Depp and Anne Hathaway, among others, and based on Lewis Carroll´s classic novel, as well as the earlier and memorable animated version by Walt Disney, tells the story of a nineteen-year-old- Alice, who is told that she can restore the White Queen to her throne because she is the only one who can kill the creature that is controlled by the Red Queen and is terrorizing Wonderland´s inhabitants.
Although this 2010 version was only given the `Best Art Direction´ and `Best Costume Design´ awards and nominated for `Best Visual Effects´, it was a very successful film.
The Thanksgiving Turkey
But it has always happened when the film wasn´t absorbing enough and it is not oneirology that I want to talk about if we understand it as the scientific study of dreams, either from the psychological or Freudian point of view of those successions of images, ideas, emotions and sensations.
What I want to talk about is more about a few ideas on movies most probably inspired by thoughts emerged from the world of dreams.
In 1990, world-famous director Akira Kurosawa made a movie inspired from eight dreams he had had throughout his life probing how this mental activity has been a source for this kind of artist and not only for painters or writers.
Let´s talk a little bit about five of the very best-known movies that were created by or based on human oneiric mental activity, using the most attractive images or tales.
`The Cabinet of Doctor Caligari´, Robert Weine (1920)
This black-and-white expressionist movie is undoubtedly a masterpiece. It is not only visually innovative but it creates a new theatrical atmosphere through the compelling mannerisms of the characters.
The plot, recounting several crimes committed by a sadistic man, reveals his will to manipulate a somnambulist to murder others. So, we are talking about dreams, about abhorrent things that a normal or even a clever mind could conceive while it is asleep.
`The Wizard of Oz´, Victor Fleming (1939)
This is the title of the many celebrated versions of this original Fleming children´s film. Based on a novel that tells what happened to Dorothy Gale, a young girl on a small farm in Kansas whose dull life is disturbed by a tornado that takes her to a new, fantastic land.
The kingdom of Oz, being a part of Dorothy´s dreams, is presented as a fantastic land where the characters she meets -the Scarecrow, the Tin Man, the Cowardly Lion- are in some way actual people from her real life.
This touching and dreamy movie was made for kids but also to be enjoyed by everyone.
`Spellbound´, Alfred Hitchcock (1945)
This thriller starring by Ingrid Bergman and Gregory Peck brings us the classic procedure of investigating crimes through psychoanalytical methods because it is thought that some massive amnesia and guilt complexes are hiding past events.
The movie starts with a Shakespeare quote that says: `The fault...is not in our stars but in ourselves...´
All the action revolves around the medical staff of a mental hospital, and especially the attitude of its new director who replaces the former that was forced to retire, and his strange disappearance that is supposed a case of murder.
Dreams and their psychological interpretation are presented here as clues to solve the crime. That is why Dr. Petersen -Bergman- uses her psychoanalytical training to dig through eyes, curtains, scissors, a man with no face, a man falling off a building, a man hiding behind a chimney and other mysterious images in a Salvador Dali dream sequence. This and other scenes make it possible to find the solution to the crime.
A well done classic!
`Cinema Paradiso´, Giuseppe Tornatore (1988)
This is not, obviously, a dream movie, but it contains all the nostalgic past of the childhood of a village boy whose first love was undoubtedly the seventh art, a dream-making machine for whole the population of a small Sicilian town.
The film is a long flashback from the eighties Rome to Giancaldo´s fifties, the birthplace of the famous Italian film director Salvatore Di Vita, beginning when he is told that Alfredo has died. His girlfriend asks him who he was, and the plot recounts the story of the movie house known as Cinema Paradiso and Giancaldo´s friendship with its projection booth operator.
World War II, the censorship of kisses and embraces, a nitrate film fire, a widowed mother and the faces of people who frequented the cinema, all these are contained in his memories... making peace with the poor past of a Sicilian boy. A memorable movie with memorable music by Ennio Morricone.
`Alice in Wonderland´, Tim Burton (2010)
This movie takes place during a dream, as Alice -the main character- is transported to her own colorful dream world inhabited by worried white rabbits.
This movie by Tim Burton, starring Johnny Depp and Anne Hathaway, among others, and based on Lewis Carroll´s classic novel, as well as the earlier and memorable animated version by Walt Disney, tells the story of a nineteen-year-old- Alice, who is told that she can restore the White Queen to her throne because she is the only one who can kill the creature that is controlled by the Red Queen and is terrorizing Wonderland´s inhabitants.
Although this 2010 version was only given the `Best Art Direction´ and `Best Costume Design´ awards and nominated for `Best Visual Effects´, it was a very successful film.
The Thanksgiving Turkey
Etiquetas:
CINEMANIAC,
DREAMS,
THANKSGIVING TURKEY
Wednesday, 22 June 2016
I have a dream...
In a time of refugees begging for asylum and receiving abuse and neglect, of self-styled commandoes gunning down those they consider in some way impure, of venomous lunatics with bad hair preaching hate, hate and more hate… it’s easy to forget that on one hot August afternoon in 1963, someone was able to put into words a dream that was and remains the dream of many – a dream of justice, equality, freedom, peace and love.
Nice ideas, you might argue, but do they have any objective reality
outside the mind of the dreamer? But here is where words like ‘objective’ and
‘reality’ lose their meanings. Does it really make any difference if equality
is only a concept, love only an instinct, freedom only a fantasy? If we are indeed
in the business of creating the world,
if every second of our consciousness is in fact a creative act, then the debt
we owe to those individuals who have used their personal vision to benefit all
of humanity can never be overstated.
Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. was certainly one of those individuals.
On that August day, standing before the Lincoln Memorial and addressing a crowd
of 250,000, he delivered the real ‘shot heard round the world’ – an impassioned
16-minute speech that ranks among the most important of the twentieth century. Not
a plea, but a declaration of human
rights regardless of race, colour or creed, expounded in thunderous biblical
language whose medium of transmission is the music of pure emotion. Nearly 70 years
later, its famous leitmotif, ‘I have a
dream…’, is still immediately recognizable to millions all over the world.
This modern Moses, however, was no stranger in the wilderness, nor
was he alone in his vision. He was speaking the minds of a new generation, of
all colours, who were dreaming the same dream. And when the Civil Rights Act
was signed the following year, it seemed as if that rarest of occurrences –i.e.
a dream coming true– was actually taking place. That we live in a world still
torn by racism is a sad fact, but the dream is unchanged and, who knows, may
one day yield its final fruit.
Anyway…
How lucky we digital-agers are to have access to the original video footage of Dr. King’s speech! To watch it for the first (or third or fourth…) time is a thrill like no other, and we can certainly spare 16 minutes of our busy lives to experience it once again.
(Heartfelt thanks to all of the YouTube contributors who have
uploaded video and audio of this speech, as well as other speeches and sermons
of Dr. King’s. See the links below.)
(the speech as it appeared on TV)
(audio with text)
Some facts about the ‘I Have A Dream’ speech:
1. Dr. King had given a longer version of the speech a week before at a rally in Detroit and had not planned to give the same speech at the Washington march. He was already into his prepared remarks when behind him he heard the voice of his friend Mahalia Jackson urging him to “tell ‘em about the dream, Martin!”. Following his preacherly instincts and feeling that the time was right, he put down his notes and began improvising around the dream theme, building on the energy of the crowd and raising it to a dramatic climax. Keep in mind that Dr. King was not a politician, but a practising minister who preached a sermon every Sunday (most famously at Ebenezer Baptist Church in Atlanta, Georgia), even through the busy civil rights years.
2. The great gospel singer Mahalia Jackson was one of Dr. King’s closest friends. He appreciated not only her musical talent but also her cooking, and was a frequent visitor to her home in Chicago. In this video, she sings a rousing ‘Joshua Fit the Battle of Jericho’ to his somewhat shy admiration.
3. The March on Washington for Jobs and Freedom was largely organized by Bayard Rustin, a gay black activist who had a long and fearless career promoting human rights, pacifism, socialism and civil disobedience. Read more about him here.
4. The event featured a variety of musical performances. Look for
them on YouTube!
Mahalia Jackson (How I Got Over)
Marian Anderson (He’s Got The Whole World In His
Hands)
Peter, Paul and Mary (If I Had A Hammer, Blowing In
the Wind)
Bob Dylan (Only
a Pawn In Their Game)
Joan Baez (We Shall Overcome, Oh Freedom)
Joan Baez and Bob Dylan (When The Ship Comes In)
Odetta (I’m On My Way)
6. The opening section of the speech is a reference to the Emancipation Proclamation, which formalized the abolition of slavery in 1863. It was signed by Abraham Lincoln at the height of the American Civil War. A hundred years later, Dr. King was speaking on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial, which faces the Washington Monument across the Reflecting Pool. Another historic document guaranteeing equal rights was then being prepared in collaboration with President Kennedy. This was the Civil Rights Act of 1964, signed in July of 1964 by Lyndon Johnson. Kennedy was assassinated in November of 1963, less than three months after the March.
Two archival sources of information about Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr.
Some worthwhile speeches and sermons available on YouTube
Magic Bob
Etiquetas:
DREAMS,
MAGIC BOB,
MARTIN LUTHER KING
Saturday, 18 June 2016
Well, friends and fans, that fickle Lady LUCK has
been up to her usual tricks lately, so much so that we decided she
deserved a thorny issue of her very own. You never know who this
unpredictable lass is going to smile on, so even you non-believers would
do well to indulge her whims. Nothing ventured, nothing gained – so
let’s roll them bones and hope for the best!
“I believe in luck: how else can you explain the success of those you dislike?” — Jean Cocteau |
Tuesday, 14 June 2016
Chasing luck
When I started to think about luck my mind exploded into a thousand pieces; or rather my thoughts jumped from one thing to another as rapidly as a domino that falls against another and so on and so on…
…Life…other lives…
…Emptiness…
…Probability…
…The Fermi paradox, or if there
are billions of possibilities of the existence
of extraterrestrial civilizations, where is everybody? According to the Drake equation, the Earth should have already been
visited by extraterrestrial aliens so why have they not yet contacted with us?...
Are we humans a unique, fortuitous combination of molecules that occurred
haphazardly?…
A graphical representation of the
Arecibo message (1974)
- Humanity's first attempt to use radio waves
to actively communicate its existence to alien civilizations- |
…my mind drifted away…
…Synchronicity, or why both
internal and external events meet each other in a way that you can not explain but
however make complete sense: the "meaningful coincidence" of C. Jung.
The author of the “ morphic fields of consciousness”, Rupert Sheldrake, believes
that when you think about someone who you haven’t seen for a long time and
almost immediately you bump into him, it is the intention of this person that got
to you before and developed in your thoughts…It is not a random incident but
telepathic highways that connect the brain…
… I think I'm a
little lost. This does not agree with the concept of luck; it is almost the
opposite…
… anyway this domino falls onto
other…
…The very famous astrophysicist
Stephen Hawking says that the universe has a structure with ten or eleven
dimensions and it is possible that some independent spatio-temporal systems
could act on our own dimension and provoke synchronicity phenomena here…
…still on the wrong track and
Domino effect continues…
…I hear Einstein saying quite
annoyedly: “God does not play with dice”: The battle between those who believe
in determinism against those who have been dragged along by quantum mechanics. Einstein
saw an innate order in the universe. He initially rejected quantum mechanics as
it is inherently chaotic. This chaos negates any sort of predestination and
determinism in nature, implying that humans do have free will. The classical
vision in physics that would allow the Devil
of Laplace to reconstruct the history of the universe and also calculate
all the future only by knowing the position of a particle, does not work
anymore. Poor Einstein and the Devil of Laplace…
… maybe this time
luck has won the match but one more domino falls…
…Chaos theory…Small differences in
initial conditions can yield widely diverging outcomes for dynamic systems,
rendering long-term predictions impossible in general…Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in
Texas?... The meteorologist and
pioneer of chaos theory Edward Lorenz is
trying to find a mathematical model to predict the behavior of air masses found
a thin geometric structure, organization disguised as chance: the first
Attractor. Somehow chaos is also ordered…
Stop! Finally I see it, luck does
not come to visit me because I am unable to think of it !
Li
Saturday, 28 May 2016
Wake up to your luck
I met my friend twenty- five years ago when she was an inmate in the
Women’s Prison in Madrid and I was working there.
The new department for mothers had been opened one or two years before and
I had just come back from my own maternity leave. Being a mother for the first
time and starting to work again is a very sensitive experience. I had been
working with mothers in prison for 5 or 6 years at that time, so apparently in
some ways I was used to nearly all the problems they had to face, both as
mothers and as inmates.
However, the way I perceived their imprisonment was absolutely changed as
my point of view had been widened because of my personal circumstances. I felt
in the deepest way how incredibly hard situation it is to be separated from
your kids for a long time. It was a huge effort for me to spend only a few hours
far from my little baby. The fear of my daughter being hurt -or worse- was a
threat that lived in my mind.
These were the outlines of the context where I discovered my beloved
Antonia.
As soon as I started working after my leave, all my peers told me what she
was like.
Aggressive, violent, bad- mannered, heavily addicted, were the
adjectives most of them expressed to describe Antonia.
A few days before I returned to my work, she had had a violent argument with
another inmate. As a result of this, she was going to be moved to another
prison.
Of course she didn’t want be moved. The conditions in the new Mothers Department
were, at that time, the best in the country so she came to talk to me about the
idea of having once more the opportunity to reform her bad behaviour.
That conversation was the beginning of our long and uncommon friendship.
It began as a professional relationship but has been reshaped to a personal
one.
What was in that talk that made me strongly beg the Director not to move
Antonia was a powerful belief.
Antonia was in prison voluntarily. She had three children and the
youngest one was living with her in the prison. The other two were in a school
under the care of the Social Services. She had taken that decision as she was
determined to abandon drugs. She was able to make me feel her enormous love for
her children. Not only with her words but because of the difficult decisions
she had taken before entering freely to jail. I admit that my new circumstance
as being a mother made me connect profoundly to her feelings.
Recovering from drug addition is not easy and I was aware that strong
determination is the first step. I had heard that argument many times. The
difficulty is to keep alive that decision for years.
Many years have past and she is completely recovered from her addition.
Moreover, she has been working as a therapist in Proyecto Hombre since she
finished her treatment.
Looking back the events I can say that she was lucky having a new
opportunity but what I think that made possible her recovering is her indestructible
will-power.
Likely being luck is mixture between coincidence and ability to take the
advantage of it.
Mrs Raga
Tuesday, 26 April 2016
Hot Hand and Lucky Personality: Could good luck bring good luck and bad luck really bring bad luck?
Hot Hand and Lucky Personality: Could
good luck bring good luck and bad luck really bring bad luck?
To look into luck is to take on one
of the grandest of all the questions: how can we explain what happens to us,
and if we will be winners, losers or somewhere in the middle in relation to love,
work, sports, gambling and life.
The studies show that luck can be
powered by past good or bad luck, personality and, in a higher twist, even our
own ideas and beliefs about luck itself. Lucky streaks are real, but they are
the product of more than just blind
fate. Our ideas about luck influence the way we behave in risky situations.
We really can make our own luck,
though we don’t like to think of ourselves as lucky - a description that
undermines other qualities, like talent and skill-.
Luck can be a force, but it’s one we
interact with, mould and cultivate.
Diverse points of view provide
different perspectives on luck: if a secular man survived because he had a
meeting outside his office at the World
Trade Center
on the morning of 11 September 2001, he might simply have thought that it was a
casual chance in life without assigning a
deeper meaning. A Hindu might conclude he had good karma. A Christian might say
God had looked after him. The mystic could insist he was born under lucky stars
Traditionally, the Chinese think
luck is an inner trait, like intelligence or a cheerful mood, notes Maia Young,
a management expert at the University
of California , Los Angeles . “My mom always used to tell me, ‘You
have a lucky nose’, because its particular shape was a lucky one, according to
Chinese tradition”. But there is another cultural difference in perceptions of
luck. “In Chinese culture,” she says, “hard work can go hand-in-hand with being
lucky. And the belief system accommodates both.”
Nevertheless, Westerners see effort
and good fortune from opposite corners of the ring. We are ambivalent about
luck. We live in a society that is neither random nor entirely meritocratic, that
makes the relationship between “hard work” and “luck” more complex.
To illustrate, when a friend is
admitted into a top law or medical school, we might say: ‘Congratulations!
You’ve persevered. You deserve it.’ Were she not to get in, we would say:
‘Acceptance is arbitrary. Everyone’s qualified these days. It’s a question of luck.’
The scientists have researched luck
often looking to sports –mainly basketball and baseball-, where chance plays a
role in even the most skill-reliant players, and outcomes are easy to measure.
One of the most studied phenomena in
the field is lucky streaks, where players seem to be on fire, so to speak –the
official term for it is “hot hands”.
A landmark paper by Stanford
psychologists, published in 1985, declared that the “hot hand” did not exist
and was instead an illusion born of the deep established tendency to see
patterns in our environments. They called it
‘The Hot-Hand Fallacy’.
However, in 2014 three Harvard University students caused big trouble
for hot-hand deniers. They reasoned that, once a player is hot, he might be encouraged
to take more difficult shots, supporting then the hot-hands effect. (Previous
studies falsely assumed a random assortment of shots by players.) The students
examined in detail a video consisting of 83,000 shot attempts from the 2012-13
US National Basketball Association season, giving them enough information to
assess the difficulty of the shots. First of all, they showed that players who
felt ‘hot’, in fact start taking harder shots. And, after taking in to account the
difficulty of each shot selected, they found a small significant hot-hands
effect – that is, those who did well began to do even better over time.
Around the same time, another group
from the University of California , Berkeley
found that opponents intensify their defence against hot players – thereby acting
against a hot-hands effect. Previous research didn’t have enough data to
account for this sufficiently, and thus interpreted any decline in a hot
player’s performance as evidence that he was not on a streak.
Given the above premises, the Berkeley group decided to
look at the sport of baseball, where there is almost nothing an opposing team can
do to frustrate a hitter on a roll. They were on to something: when they
analysed 12 years of data from Major League Baseball, they found that how a
player performed the most recent 25 times at bat was a significant predictor of
how he would do the next time. They also calculated that a hot player was 30 %
more likely to hit a home run than if he were not on a winning streak. Lucky
streaks are real and not just an illusion, they said.
But what causes them? Is it truly
luck, or something else? Perhaps it is a question of possibilities. That’s the
suggestion from research into both winning and losing streaks from University College
London. Researchers analysed about half a million sports bets (courtesy of an
online gambling company) and found that those on winning streaks were much more
likely than to keep winning, and those on losing streaks were more likely to
keep losing, than a 50/50 chances would suggest.
Then the team dug deeper to expose
why these streaks were in fact real: it was the bettors’ behaviour. As soon as
they realised they were winning, they made safer bets, supposing their streaks
could not last forever. In other words, they did not believe themselves to have
hot hands that would stay hot. A different impulse drove gamblers who lost. They
guessed that lady luck was due for a visit, fell for the gambler’s fallacy and
made riskier bets. As a result, the winners kept winning (even if the amounts
they won were small) and the losers kept losing.
If behaviour influences luck, do
people who think of themselves as lucky behave differently from the rest of us?
A 2009 study assessed whether
students believed in stable luck as a trait they themselves possessed. A relationship
is found between the belief in stable luck (versus fleeting luck) and measures
of achievement and motivation, including whether or not the students persisted
at tasks or chose challenging ones to begin with. Lucky people, it seems, are
more ambitious. Those who believe in stable luck will be more motivated to pick
difficult goals and then stick with them. If they consider luck as a chance, as
something ephemeral, then they can’t rely on it because it comes and goes and
they might be less motivated to face hard and challenging tasks.
These findings fit together with the
work of R. Wiseman, professor of Psychology at the University of Hertfordshire
and author of the book The Luck Factor (2003). He says that the
best way to look at luck is as a stable trait – not one that people are born
with, but one they can cultivate. Wiseman searched for people who considered
themselves consistently very lucky or unlucky by gathering data from 400
subjects. He found that ‘lucky’ people are skilful at creating and noticing
chance opportunities (such as meeting an important businessman at a café),
listen to their intuition, have positive expectations that create
self-fulfilling prophesies, and have a relaxed and resilient attitude about
life’s trials. Poor unlucky souls are more tense and anxious than lucky ones.
Wiseman split the tendencies of the
lucky group into behavioural interventions such as getting people to imagine
how things could have been worse when they were faced with misfortune or, more
generally, asking them to ‘switch their daily routine’. As a result, 80 per
cent of the unlucky group reported that, after just a month, they were happier,
more satisfied with their lives, and yes, luckier.
The more one thinks about luck and
the new insights into it, the more its paradoxes come down. Consider optimism:
it was one of the key qualities of lucky people identified by Wiseman. These
might win at life, but their sunny outlooks could get them in trouble in Las Vegas .
This is exactly what happened to
Archie Karas. Just three weeks after he won $40 million, he lost it all.
His ‘lucky streak’ turned into a net loss of $50. In addition to that, in 2013
Karas was charged with burglary, winning by fraudulent means and cheating at a
blackjack table in Lakeside ,
California . But fortune smiled on
him, slightly: he was placed on probation, escaping a potential three-year
prison sentence.
Things could always be worse.
Scissor Sister
Etiquetas:
BETS,
FORTUNE,
HOT-HAND,
LUCK,
MISFORTUNE,
SCISSOR SISTER,
TRAITS
Friday, 22 April 2016
The Cinemaniac Corner: Luck or fate?
Although there have been many ways of understanding the word `luck´ depending the cultural background you are talking from, we can try to define a general idea about this concept that all of us mention so often, maybe too often.
Luck might refer to some kind of unpredictable events that could seriously affect our lives, events that are beyond one´s control. These events are initially purposeless but can simultaneously act on our future in a positive or negative way, that´s the reason why we add the adjective of `good´ or ``bad´ to the word luck.
The concept itself is very different from others such as coincidence, determination, chance or providence. But fate is another thing. Fate refers to destiny. It is conceptualized as the idea of a fixed future completely independent of anything a person can do. You don´t know what is going to happen but these things are undoubtedly going to happen, whatever you might do, as they are fixed in advanced.
You might wonder if there are movies related to this concept of good or bad luck, or any that might have something to do with being lucky in one´s life. Plots can´t be random, by definition. On the contrary, every small detail of a film must be perfectly designed. But some movies have tried to confront this topic.
One might be the classic Ernst Lubitsch film `If I Had a Million´ (1932) starring Gary Cooper and Charles Laughton, among others. It opens with the decision of a very rich entrepreneur who decides to give a million dollars to each one of eight randomly selected people, so that he will not have problems with his last will and his relatives´ ambitions for his heritance. The chance or good luck appears, apparently, when you receive the good news in a telephone call...
Similar in some ways is a Spanish film directed by José Maria Forqué titled `A Million in the Dustbin´ (1967) (`Un millón en la basura´) starring José Luis López Vázquez and Julia Gutiérrez Caba, among others. In this comedy, there is also a touch of tenderness and moral dilemma embedded in the plot. It´s the story of a poor street sweeper, working in the very early and cold mornings of a Spanish city in the fifties, who by chance finds a million pesetas among the litter.
He can´t believe his very good luck, or should we say his certain fate?. He decides to keep it for himself as at that moment he has serious financial problems. But his beloved wife suggests that he could prove himself to be completely honest by giving it back to its true owner...
In the opposite direction, the movie `It Could Happen to You´ (1994), starring Nicolas Cage and Bridget Fonda and directed by Andrew Bergman, also relates a moral conflict in the main character -Charlie, a good policeman- who has a very stormy relationship with his wife -Muriel, a selfish hairdresser.
One day, Charlie can´t afford to leave a tip for Yvonne, the waitress of the restaurant he usually goes to, so he offers her half of his prize if he wins from a lottery ticket he has just bought. Surprisingly, he wins. His faithful intention is to keep his promise and give half of it to Yvonne, as promised. But unlike the previous movie, his wife Muriel has a very different idea of what he should do.
He finally acts according to his conscience and he discovers that the waitress has a golden heart and buys the restaurant reserving a table everyday to give food to poor people, as she was in the past... I don´t want to ruin the rest of the film for you!.
On the subject of winning lottery prizes, which is supposed to be a very lucky event generally thought to completely change anyone´s life in a positive way, we can find another commercial movie titled `Lottery Ticket´ (2010).
Directed by Eric White and starring by Bow Wow among others, this film focuses not specifically on the main character but on the changes in other people´s behaviors. Kevin Carson, the main character, wins a 370-million-dollar lottery prize with a single ticket, and he soon realizes that his neighbors are not truthful friends but just people trying to get something from their relationship with him. Suddenly, Carson´s defects are virtues, his bad habits are examples for children from that time on, his pals demonstrate how cool he is... everything changes in his `apple polishing´ mates.
More interesting is in my opinion another movie, titled `Mr. Nobody´, directed by Jaco Van Dormael and starring Jared Leto and Sarah Polley, among others. This Belgian science fiction film develops more a philosophical point of view about fate and the vital consequences of dilemma decisions and casual circumstances. The plot has the virtue of narrating for us the different possibilities that condition the outcomes of the main character Nemo´s life.
As he is being interviewed by a journalist at the end of his days, the last human to die in a futuristic world where immortality has been achieved, he narrates his life and how it could have been from three biographical moments: at age 9, when his parents divorced, at age 15 when he fell in love and at age 34 as an adult.
So this is a small review of movies that incidentally touch topics related to luck or fate. I hope that if you have been interested by any of these works of the Seventh Art, you´ll try to watch them.
Thanksgiving Turkey
Etiquetas:
CINEMANIAC,
LUCK,
THANKSGIVING TURKEY
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